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ViCoS Lab

Physics informed deep learning prediction models

Researchers

Lojze Žust, MSc
Lojze Žust, MSc
Marko Rus, MSc
Marko Rus, MSc
Matej Kristan, PhD
Matej Kristan, PhD

What is HIDRA

Quick links: Live predictions Paper Code HIDRA1

Interactions between atmospheric forcing, topographic constraints to air and water flow, and resonant character of the basin make sea level modelling in the Adriatic a challenging problem. We present HIDRA (HIigh-performance Deep tidal Residual estimation method using Atmospheric data) to address this challenge. HIDRA is a physics-informed deep model for sea-level forecasting, which makes predictions based on ensemble weather forecasts of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and past 24 hours of sea-level measurements at the Koper Mareographic Station. The model was trained on a dataset of ECMWF weather forecasts for the years 2006-2016 and Koper sea-level measurements for the same time period.

Results show that HIDRA matches (and surpasses in some cases) the accuracy of a numerical operational model, while being half million times faster, delivering predictions within less than a second on a single CPU.

Forecasts of the operational HIDRA model in use by the Slovenian Environment Agency are showcased here.

HIDRA architecture

The HIDRA team: HIDRA is result of a collaboration between the Visual Cognitive Systems Lab, University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Computer and Information Science, the Marine biology station at the National Institute of Biology (NIB) and the Slovenian Environment Agency (ARSO): Lojze Žust & Matej Kristan (FRI), Anja Fettich (ARSO), Matjaž Ličer (NIB)

Model architecture

HIDRA uses a novel model architecture to combine the spatio-temporal information from the atmospheric input data and the temporal information from the sea-level measurements input data. More details about the model in the GMD paper.

HIDRA architecture

Code

A TensorFlow implementation of the HIDRA model is available in the Github repository.

Publications

  •  
    HIDRA3: a deep-learning model for multipoint ensemble sea level forecasting in the presence of tide gauge sensor failures
    Marko Rus, Hrvoje Mihanović, Matjaž Ličer and Matej Kristan
    Geoscientific Model Development, Copernicus Publications, 2025
  • HIDRA3: A Robust Deep-Learning Model for Multi-Point Sea-Surface Height and Storm Surges Forecasting
    Marko Rus, Hrvoje Mihanović, Matjaž Ličer and Matej Kristan
    55th International Liège Colloquium on Ocean Dynamics, 2024
  • HIDRA3: A Robust Deep-Learning Model for Multi-Point Sea-Surface Height Forecasting
    Marko Rus, Hrvoje Mihanović, Matjaž Ličer and Matej Kristan
    EGU General Assembly 2024, 2024
  • Deep-learning transformer-based sea level modeling ensemble for the Adriatic basin
    Marko Rus, Matej Kristan and Matjaž Ličer
    54th International Liège Colloquium on Ocean Dynamics, 2023
  •  
    HIDRA-T – A Transformer-Based Sea Level Forecasting Method
    Marko Rus, Anja Fettich, Matej Kristan and Matjaž Ličer
    International Electrotechnical and Computer Science Conference (ERK), 2023
  • HIDRA2: deep-learning ensemble sea level and storm tide forecasting in the presence of seiches – the case of the northern Adriatic
    Marko Rus, Anja Fettich, Matej Kristan and Matjaž Ličer
    EGU General Assembly 2023, 2023
  •  
    HIDRA2: deep-learning ensemble sea level and storm tide forecasting in the presence of seiches – the case of the northern Adriatic
    Marko Rus, Anja Fettich, Matej Kristan and Matjaž Ličer
    Geoscientific Model Development, Copernicus Publications, 2023
  • Improvements of the Adriatic Deep-Learning Sea Level Modeling Network HIDRA
    Marko Rus, Matjaž Ličer and Matej Kristan
    MAELSTROM dissemination workshop, 2022
  •  
    HIDRA 1.0: deep-learning-based ensemble sea level forecasting in the northern Adriatic
    Lojze Žust, Anja Fettich, Matej Kristan and Matjaž Ličer
    Geoscientific Model Development, Copernicus Publications, 2021
  •  
    Prepletanje umetne inteligence in fizike pri napovedovanju obalnih poplav
    Matjaž Ličer, Lojze Žust and Matej Kristan
    Alternator, 2021
Faculty of Computer and Information Science

Visual Cognitive Systems Laboratory

University of Ljubljana

Faculty of Computer and Information Science

Večna pot 113
SI-1000 Ljubljana
Slovenia
Tel.: +386 1 479 8245